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Featured Strategy 3XTraderQ Followed by live capital $210,000 Hypothetical

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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more
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Trades-Own-Strategy Certification

This system has earned Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification. This means that the manager of this system trades his own strategy in a real-life, funded brokerage account.

Trades-Own-Strategy (TOS) Certification Details
Certification process started 07/06/2026
Most recent certification approved 7/6/26 10:35 ET
Trades at broker Tradier (Server 2)
Scaling percentage used 100%
# trading signals issued by system since certification 18
# trading signals executed in manager's Tradier (Server 2) account 18
Percent signals followed since 07/06/2026 100%
This information was last updated 7/21/26 14:20 ET

Warning: System trading results are still hypothetical.

Even though the system developer is currently trading his own system in a real-life brokerage account, the trading results presented on this Web site must still be regarded as purely hypothetical results. This is because (among other reasons) the system developer may not have traded all signals, particularly those that occurred before 07/06/2026, and the system developer's results may not match the system results presented here. In addition, not all subscribers have received the same trades or prices as the system manager has. For these reasons, and others, it is extremely important you remember the following:

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. In fact, there are frequently sharp differences between hypothetical performance results and the actual results subsequently achieved by any particular trading program.

One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are generally prepared with the benefit of hindsight. In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

You may be interested to learn more technical details about how Collective2 calculates the hypothetical results you see on this web site.

CombustionZone TQQQ ARKB
(155284492)

Powered by BrokerTransmit.
Read important disclosures.

Created by: CombustionZone CombustionZone
Started: 03/2026
Stocks
Last trade: Today
Trading style: Equity Trend-following Momentum

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $75.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Equity
Trend-following
Category: Equity

Trend-following

Tries to take advantage of long, medium or short-term moves that seem to play out in various markets. Typically, trend-following analysis is backward looking; that is, it attempts to recognize and profit from already-established trends.
Momentum
Category: Equity

Momentum

Aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. Trader takes a long position in an asset in an upward trend, and short-sells a security that has been in a downward trend. While similar to Trend-following, tends to be more forward-looking (predicting oncoming trend), while Momentum is more backward-looking (observing already-established price direction).
3.6%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(10.8%)
Max Drawdown
25
Num Trades
56.0%
Win Trades
1.4 : 1
Profit Factor
60.0%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2026              +1.0%+8.5%(5.8%)(0.2%)+0.7%                              +3.6%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

LiveSignal

Live broadcasts, recordings, and community highlights.
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Live Chat

Just getting set up on Collective2 and recently added my strategy, CombustionZone Core. It’s a disciplined, long-only equity portfolio. Great start, but with the extremely volatili...
Proven strategy that works. Most stocks are at extended levels and SP500 held up by semis, but these are undervalued positions ready to move to true value.
Unfortunate CDW earnings report, which the decline broke the technical structure. Nothing to do but sell and move on. Cheers
Great recovery from the CDW earnings smack in the face.
Transitioned this to TQQQ an ARKB, for those that manually trade these strategies. This will make it easy, so entries and exits will only take place during market hours. Also, this...
Open LiveSignal

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 18 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
7/21/26 10:35 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 55 70.73 7/21 10:50 70.77 n/a $1
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.10
7/17/26 14:55 ARKB ARK 21SHARES BITCOIN ETF LONG 365 21.33 7/21 10:35 22.15 0.44%
Trade id #156947959
Max drawdown($43)
Time7/17/26 15:25
Quant open365
Worst price21.21
Drawdown as % of equity-0.44%
 $292
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.30
7/20/26 12:45 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 56 69.18 7/20 14:55 68.38 0.56%
Trade id #156970764
Max drawdown($57)
Time7/20/26 14:45
Quant open56
Worst price68.16
Drawdown as % of equity-0.56%
 ($46)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.12
7/17/26 14:55 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 71 68.32 7/20 9:30 69.49 0.84%
Trade id #156947961
Max drawdown($83)
Time7/17/26 15:25
Quant open71
Worst price67.15
Drawdown as % of equity-0.84%
 $82
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.42
7/14/26 10:35 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 64 74.91 7/15 9:31 76.31 0.52%
Trade id #156902809
Max drawdown($51)
Time7/14/26 10:50
Quant open64
Worst price74.10
Drawdown as % of equity-0.52%
 $89
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.28
7/10/26 13:50 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 63 77.25 7/13 9:30 74.16 1.98%
Trade id #156869010
Max drawdown($198)
Time7/13/26 9:30
Quant open63
Worst price74.09
Drawdown as % of equity-1.98%
 ($195)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.26
7/8/26 14:55 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 66 72.30 7/10 10:35 75.65 0.12%
Trade id #156839342
Max drawdown($12)
Time7/8/26 15:06
Quant open66
Worst price72.11
Drawdown as % of equity-0.12%
 $220
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.32
7/7/26 12:45 ARKB ARK 21SHARES BITCOIN ETF LONG 470 21.22 7/8 9:30 20.49 3.45%
Trade id #156820476
Max drawdown($352)
Time7/8/26 9:30
Quant open470
Worst price20.47
Drawdown as % of equity-3.45%
 ($352)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $9.40
7/6/26 10:35 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 77 77.01 7/6 14:55 76.70 0.84%
Trade id #156804943
Max drawdown($86)
Time7/6/26 13:42
Quant open77
Worst price75.89
Drawdown as % of equity-0.84%
 ($26)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.54
6/15/26 10:48: Rescaled downward to 55% of previous Model Account size
5/27/26 12:48 ATKR ATKORE INC LONG 49.500000000 81.28 6/15 9:31 80.60 2.33%
Trade id #156305570
Max drawdown($239)
Time6/10/26 0:00
Quant open33
Worst price76.12
Drawdown as % of equity-2.33%
 ($35)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.99
5/8/26 15:34 SNPS SYNOPSYS LONG 8.250000000 497.59 6/15 9:31 462.30 4.3%
Trade id #156007253
Max drawdown($433)
Time6/11/26 0:00
Quant open8
Worst price445.00
Drawdown as % of equity-4.30%
 ($291)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.17
4/24/26 9:30 ACRE ARES COMMERCIAL REAL LONG 330 5.22 6/15 9:31 4.96 2.13%
Trade id #155754930
Max drawdown($214)
Time5/19/26 0:00
Quant open330
Worst price4.57
Drawdown as % of equity-2.13%
 ($93)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.60
4/30/26 13:06 HOG HARLEY-DAVIDSON LONG 55 23.85 6/9 13:01 25.18 0.79%
Trade id #155854005
Max drawdown($79)
Time5/21/26 0:00
Quant open55
Worst price22.40
Drawdown as % of equity-0.79%
 $72
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.10
4/30/26 13:06 MMI MARCUS & MILLICHAP INC LONG 55 27.94 6/5 12:35 30.09 0.54%
Trade id #155854016
Max drawdown($58)
Time5/4/26 0:00
Quant open55
Worst price26.88
Drawdown as % of equity-0.54%
 $117
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.10
4/30/26 12:58 MTCH MATCH GROUP LONG 55 37.28 5/27 12:41 36.27 1.37%
Trade id #155853860
Max drawdown($134)
Time5/20/26 0:00
Quant open55
Worst price34.83
Drawdown as % of equity-1.37%
 ($57)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.10
4/24/26 9:32 ATKR ATKORE INC LONG 27.500000000 72.54 5/26 14:22 86.08 0.64%
Trade id #155755198
Max drawdown($64)
Time5/19/26 0:00
Quant open28
Worst price70.20
Drawdown as % of equity-0.64%
 $371
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.55
5/8/26 15:32 HUM HUMANA LONG 13.750000000 271.83 5/13 11:48 302.57 0.25%
Trade id #156007217
Max drawdown($25)
Time5/11/26 0:00
Quant open14
Worst price269.96
Drawdown as % of equity-0.25%
 $423
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.28
4/24/26 14:15 CDW CDW CORPORATION COMMON STOCK LONG 27.500000000 134.52 5/8 15:32 105.78 7.93%
Trade id #155763513
Max drawdown($797)
Time5/8/26 14:56
Quant open28
Worst price105.53
Drawdown as % of equity-7.93%
 ($791)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.55
4/21/26 14:12 SPXU PROSHARES ULTRAPRO SHORT S&P50 LONG 55 44.37 4/30 12:46 42.82 0.89%
Trade id #155695614
Max drawdown($95)
Time4/27/26 0:00
Quant open55
Worst price42.63
Drawdown as % of equity-0.89%
 ($86)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.10
4/8/26 14:19 MMI MARCUS & MILLICHAP INC LONG 110 26.54 4/17 15:39 27.73 0.61%
Trade id #155454578
Max drawdown($61)
Time4/10/26 0:00
Quant open110
Worst price25.98
Drawdown as % of equity-0.61%
 $129
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.20
3/30/26 9:33 JD JD.COM INC LONG 82.500000000 28.88 4/17 15:39 31.59 0.8%
Trade id #155303704
Max drawdown($81)
Time4/9/26 0:00
Quant open82
Worst price27.90
Drawdown as % of equity-0.80%
 $221
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.65
4/7/26 10:17 TRIP TRIPADVISOR LONG 220 11.03 4/17 15:39 11.47 0.86%
Trade id #155426829
Max drawdown($85)
Time4/13/26 0:00
Quant open220
Worst price10.64
Drawdown as % of equity-0.86%
 $93
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.40
4/10/26 13:09 IBIT ISHARES BITCOIN TRUST LONG 110 41.35 4/17 15:39 43.88 1.34%
Trade id #155498430
Max drawdown($133)
Time4/13/26 0:00
Quant open110
Worst price40.14
Drawdown as % of equity-1.34%
 $276
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.20
4/2/26 12:49 CHWY CHEWY INC LONG 110 26.79 4/10 13:08 25.37 1.66%
Trade id #155365818
Max drawdown($167)
Time4/10/26 12:45
Quant open110
Worst price25.27
Drawdown as % of equity-1.66%
 ($158)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.20
3/30/26 9:33 FRHC FREEDOM HOLDING CORP. COMMON STOCK LONG 16.500000000 140.82 4/8 10:10 156.00 0.38%
Trade id #155303694
Max drawdown($37)
Time3/30/26 15:43
Quant open16
Worst price138.57
Drawdown as % of equity-0.38%
 $250
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.33

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    3/28/2026
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $15,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    114.57
  • Age
    115 days ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    25
  • # Profitable
    14
  • % Profitable
    56.00%
  • Avg trade duration
    13.9 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    10.76%
  • drawdown period
    May 06, 2026 - May 20, 2026
  • Cumul. Return
    3.6%
  • Avg win
    $190.00
  • Avg loss
    $191.27
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $10,560
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $10,560
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.36:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.34
  • Sortino Ratio
    0.45
  • Calmar Ratio
    2.12
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -13.24%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.26010
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    17.96%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    11.7%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    6.30%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.67%
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.036%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    1.00%
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    22.6%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    14.50%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    677
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    922
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    330
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    Yes
  • TOS percent
    100%
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $191
  • Avg Win
    $190
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $2,104.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    5
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $2,660.000
  • # Winners
    14
  • Num Months Winners
    3
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    102
  • AUM
  • AUM (AutoTrader live capital)
    10518
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    11
  • % Winners
    56.0%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    19965.70
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    332.76
  • Avg Trade Length
    13.9 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    0
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    1.16
  • Daily leverage (max)
    2.27
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    -0.03
  • Beta
    0.35
  • Treynor Index
    0.06
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.01
  • MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    11.80
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats
    50.81
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.73
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.03
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    6.489
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.02
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.307
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.320
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.154
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.22021
  • SD
    0.25474
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.86445
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.48771
  • df
    2.00000
  • t
    0.43222
  • p
    0.35386
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -3.22702
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.76859
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.46124
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.43667
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.27108
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    4.27108
  • Upside part of mean
    0.41414
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.19393
  • Upside SD
    0.19468
  • Downside SD
    0.09696
  • N nonnegative terms
    2.00000
  • N negative terms
    1.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    3.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.67795
  • Mean of criterion
    0.22021
  • SD of predictor
    0.23497
  • SD of criterion
    0.25474
  • Covariance
    0.03484
  • r
    0.58201
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.63099
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.20757
  • Mean Square Error
    0.08582
  • DF error
    1.00000
  • t(b)
    0.71572
  • p(b)
    0.30227
  • t(a)
    -0.24800
  • p(a)
    0.57738
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -10.57100
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    11.83300
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -10.84240
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    10.42730
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.34899
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.20757
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.19713
  • SD
    0.24792
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.79516
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.44862
  • df
    2.00000
  • t
    0.39758
  • p
    0.36468
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -3.27750
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.69421
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.49588
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.39312
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.98811
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    3.98811
  • Upside part of mean
    0.39545
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.19831
  • Upside SD
    0.18542
  • Downside SD
    0.09916
  • N nonnegative terms
    2.00000
  • N negative terms
    1.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    3.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.64150
  • Mean of criterion
    0.19713
  • SD of predictor
    0.22279
  • SD of criterion
    0.24792
  • Covariance
    0.03044
  • r
    0.55117
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.61332
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.19631
  • Mean Square Error
    0.08558
  • DF error
    1.00000
  • t(b)
    0.66056
  • p(b)
    0.31418
  • t(a)
    -0.23513
  • p(a)
    0.57351
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -11.18430
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    12.41100
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -10.80520
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    10.41250
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.32142
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.19631
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.09633
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.12265
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.02942
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.05539
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    3.00000
  • Minimum
    0.95385
  • Quartile 1
    0.98129
  • Median
    1.00873
  • Quartile 3
    1.05410
  • Maximum
    1.09946
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.95385
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.00873
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.09946
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.07281
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    1.00000
  • Minimum
    0.04615
  • Quartile 1
    0.04615
  • Median
    0.04615
  • Quartile 3
    0.04615
  • Maximum
    0.04615
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.23149
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.25237
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    5.46813
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    2.05771
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.15190
  • SD
    0.17527
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.86667
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.85852
  • df
    80.00000
  • t
    0.48189
  • p
    0.31560
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.66350
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.39157
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.66896
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.38601
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.18051
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    7.49481
  • Upside part of mean
    0.96438
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.81248
  • Upside SD
    0.11778
  • Downside SD
    0.12867
  • N nonnegative terms
    41.00000
  • N negative terms
    40.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    81.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.49892
  • Mean of criterion
    0.15190
  • SD of predictor
    0.13729
  • SD of criterion
    0.17527
  • Covariance
    0.00598
  • r
    0.24835
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.31706
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.00600
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02919
  • DF error
    79.00000
  • t(b)
    2.27879
  • p(b)
    0.01269
  • t(a)
    -0.01997
  • p(a)
    0.50794
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.04012
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.59401
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.63331
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.62073
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.47909
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.00629
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.13660
  • SD
    0.17597
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.77624
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.76894
  • df
    80.00000
  • t
    0.43161
  • p
    0.33359
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.75313
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.30093
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.75805
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.29593
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.04494
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    7.32425
  • Upside part of mean
    0.95745
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.82085
  • Upside SD
    0.11648
  • Downside SD
    0.13072
  • N nonnegative terms
    41.00000
  • N negative terms
    40.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    81.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.48913
  • Mean of criterion
    0.13660
  • SD of predictor
    0.13701
  • SD of criterion
    0.17597
  • Covariance
    0.00596
  • r
    0.24722
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.31754
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.01872
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02944
  • DF error
    79.00000
  • t(b)
    2.26777
  • p(b)
    0.01304
  • t(a)
    -0.05922
  • p(a)
    0.52354
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.03883
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.59625
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.64791
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.61047
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.43018
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.01872
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01721
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02166
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00695
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01488
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    81.00000
  • Minimum
    0.95273
  • Quartile 1
    0.99761
  • Median
    1.00026
  • Quartile 3
    1.00628
  • Maximum
    1.03447
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98858
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99966
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00290
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01221
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00867
  • Number outliers low
    5.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.06173
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.97306
  • Number of outliers high
    2.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.02469
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.03330
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.47212
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00968
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02199
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.43238
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01168
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02565
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    4.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00337
  • Quartile 1
    0.00338
  • Median
    0.00841
  • Quartile 3
    0.03118
  • Maximum
    0.08436
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00337
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00338
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.01345
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.08436
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02780
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.25000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.08436
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.16876
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.17881
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    2.11958
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    2.11958
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    8.25616
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.01700
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.50%
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -434295000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    14

Strategy Description

CombustionZone TQQQ ARKB is a fully systematic momentum strategy built on a single, highly liquid instrument: TQQQ, the 3x leveraged Nasdaq-100 ETF. Every trade is generated by the same repeatable rules — no discretion, no curve-fitting to the news cycle, no overnight guessing. When momentum confirms, the strategy takes the trade. When it doesn't, it sits in cash.

How it works: CombustionZone scans for momentum continuation on an intraday timeframe and enters only when conditions align. Every position carries a fixed stop loss from entry, so risk is defined the moment the trade opens — there is never an open position without a predetermined exit. Winners are managed to a take-profit target; losers are cut quickly and without hesitation. The result is a strategy that takes controlled, high-conviction shots rather than staying perpetually exposed.

Risk management is the core, not an afterthought. Because TQQQ is a 3x leveraged instrument, every trade runs with a hard stop loss built in from the first tick. The strategy spends meaningful time in cash, only deploying when the setup is present — which historically has kept it near flat during major market stress rather than riding leverage straight down. There is no martingale, no averaging into losers, and no holding-and-hoping.

You stay in control. CombustionZone is designed for AutoTrade, but you are never locked in. You can follow signals manually, scale position sizes up or down to match your own risk tolerance, skip individual trades, or pause the strategy entirely at any time. Every signal is clear and actionable whether you automate it or place the trades yourself. Your account, your call.

Who it's for: Traders who want concentrated, leveraged Nasdaq momentum exposure with strict, mechanical risk control — and who understand that a 3x instrument carries real drawdown risk in exchange for its return potential. Also exposure to Bitcoin via ARKB. This is an aggressive growth strategy, not a conservative income product. Position sizing should reflect that.
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Just getting set up on Collective2 and recently added my strategy, CombustionZone Core. It’s a disciplined, long-only equity portfolio. Great start, but with the extremely volatili...
Proven strategy that works. Most stocks are at extended levels and SP500 held up by semis, but these are undervalued positions ready to move to true value.
Unfortunate CDW earnings report, which the decline broke the technical structure. Nothing to do but sell and move on. Cheers
Great recovery from the CDW earnings smack in the face.
Transitioned this to TQQQ an ARKB, for those that manually trade these strategies. This will make it easy, so entries and exits will only take place during market hours. Also, this...
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Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2026-03-28
Suggested Minimum Capital
$15,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 7.8%
Rank # 
#390
# Trades
25
# Profitable
14
% Profitable
56.0%
Net Dividends
$101
Correlation S&P500
0.260
Sharpe Ratio
0.34
Sortino Ratio
0.45
Beta
0.35
Alpha
-0.03
Leverage
1.16 Average
2.27 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.